{"id":2334,"date":"2021-06-23T08:30:47","date_gmt":"2021-06-23T08:30:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/p2p.ba\/?p=2334"},"modified":"2021-06-23T08:30:47","modified_gmt":"2021-06-23T08:30:47","slug":"5-razloga-zasto-ce-troskovi-prijevoza-i-isporuke-na-globalnoj-razini-i-dalje-rasti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/p2p.ba\/en\/blog\/5-razloga-zasto-ce-troskovi-prijevoza-i-isporuke-na-globalnoj-razini-i-dalje-rasti\/","title":{"rendered":"5 razloga za\u0161to tro\u0161kovi prijevoza i isporuke i dalje rastu"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Tro\u0161kovi prijevoza i isporuke rastu od kolovoza 2020. Ipak, u prvim mjesecima ove godine zabilje\u017een je jo\u0161 zna\u010dajniji skok cijena prijevoza na vode\u0107im trgovinskim rutama. U nekim su slu\u010dajevima cijene \u010dak 3 puta ve\u0107e od pro\u0161logodi\u0161njih.<\/span><\/p>

Malo je naznaka da \u0107e se situacija kratkoro\u010dno popraviti, pa \u0107e cijene nastaviti rasti u drugoj polovici ove godine. Razlozi pove\u0107anja le\u017ee u neuskla\u0111enosti ponude i potra\u017enje. Naime, potra\u017enja za brodskim prostorom za prijevoz razli\u010ditih vrsta tereta i dalje raste, dok je ponuda ograni\u010dena nedovoljnim rastom kapaciteta i lokalnim lockdown-ovima.<\/span><\/p>

\u010cak i u slu\u010daju pove\u0107anja kapaciteta, zbog potrebe za ulaganjem ve\u0107ih napora u njihovo odr\u017eavanje, tro\u0161kovi prijevoza bit \u0107e ve\u0107i nego prije pandemije.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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1. Stalne neravnote\u017ee<\/h4>

Neravnote\u017ee u razli\u010ditim poljima jedan su od glavnih razloga za\u0161to globalni tro\u0161kovi isporuke neprestano rastu. Pod neravnote\u017eom se prije svega misli na neuskla\u0111enost u ponudi i potra\u017enji za robom. Uz to, mjere povezane sa borbom protiv pandemije vrlo su razli\u010dite u razli\u010ditim zemljama i regijama. Treba dodati i to da su brodarske kompanije smanjile svoj kapacitet na glavnim rutama, te da je do\u0161lo do nesta\u0161ice praznih kontejnera za prijevoz tereta.<\/span><\/p>

Kako se zdravstvena situacija popravljala, a mjere ubla\u017eavale, gospodarstva su se po\u010dela oporavljati. Potra\u017enja u sektorima usko povezanim s me\u0111unarodnom trgovinom robom po\u010dela je naglo rasti. Sve je to dovelo do pove\u0107anja potra\u017enje za teretnim prostorom.<\/span><\/p>

2. Tro\u0161kovi prijevoza i isporuke rastu jer nema dovoljno alternativa oceanskom prijevozu<\/h4>

Zbog nedostatka alternativa oceanskom prijevozu, vrlo je te\u0161ko izbje\u0107i pove\u0107anje tro\u0161kova prijevoza i dostave. Tereti ve\u0107e vrijednosti, poput elektroni\u010dkih ure\u0111aja, mogli bi se prevoziti zrakom ili vlakom. Me\u0111utim, kapaciteti su ograni\u010deni, \u0161to zna\u010dajno pove\u0107ava tarife. Tro\u0161kovi prijevoza i isporuke proizvoda manje vrijednosti alternativnim metodama doista su visoki. Toliko su visoki da \u010dine 20% tro\u0161kova nabavke takvih proizvoda.<\/span><\/p>

Vrlo je vjerojatno da \u0107e potro\u0161a\u010di biti ti koji \u0107e osjetiti navedena pove\u0107anja i promjene u dostupnosti proizvoda.<\/span><\/p>

3. Neuravnote\u017eeni oporavak 2021. godine<\/h4>

Iako neke zemlje izvoze vi\u0161e nego prije Pandemije, SAD i brojne druge zemlje jo\u0161 uvijek nisu u mogu\u0107nosti povratiti svoju proizvodnju. Iako se o\u010dekuje rast trgovine, za oporavak nekih zemalja i njihovih trgovinskih partnera trebat \u0107e vremena. Zbog neuravnote\u017eenog oporavka gospodarstava \u0161irom svijeta, o\u010dekuje se pogor\u0161anje nekih trenutnih problema svjetske trgovine, poput nedostatka praznih kontejnera.<\/span><\/p>

4. Smanjen broj otkazanih putovanja djelomice poma\u017ee ubla\u017eiti problem smanjenog kapaciteta<\/h4>

Iako se kapacitet na glavnim brodskim rutama pove\u0107ao, otkazani booking-i nastavili su smanjivati planirani kapacitet. U narednom se razdoblju o\u010dekuju neka pobolj\u0161anja. Me\u0111utim, s obzirom na \u010dinjenicu da su otkazana putovanja u ve\u0107ini slu\u010dajeva rezultat ka\u0161njenja, smanjivanje kapaciteta nastavit \u0107e se.<\/span><\/p>

5. Tro\u0161kovi prijevoza i isporuke rastu jer zatvaranje luka i gu\u017eve uzrokuju stalna ka\u0161njenja<\/h4>

Broj brodova koji se pridr\u017eavaju plana vrlo je malen, a prosje\u010dne stope ka\u0161njenja stalno se pove\u0107avaju. Iako postoje naznake da \u0107e se ka\u0161njenja smanjiti, a performanse pobolj\u0161ati, u\u010dinkovitost prijevoza i isporuke je na najni\u017eim nivoma u posljednjih 10 godina.<\/span><\/p>

Kona\u010dno, novi slu\u010dajevi COVID-19 doveli su do velikih kriza u kineskim lukama<\/a>, prvenstveno luci Yantian<\/a>. Nakon privremenog zatvaranja, operacije su se nastavile, ali uz vrlo velike gu\u017eve i ka\u0161njenja.<\/span><\/p>

Zemlje poput Kine, koje imaju velik udio u me\u0111unarodnoj trgovini, aktivno provode postupak imunizacije, ali \u0107e stvaranje imuniteta potrajati. Stoga \u0107e i dalje biti potrebne mjere za zaustavljanje \u0161irenja pandemije.<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t

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Ubla\u017eavanje pritiska na cijene ne o\u010dekuje se prije 2023. godine<\/h4>

Kontejnerski brodovi postigli su vrlo dobre financijske rezultate tijekom Pandemije. Potra\u017enja za tim brodovima porasla je do te mjere da su narud\u017ebe za kontejnerske brodove dosegle rekordnih 229 brodova. Kada novi brodovi budu spremni za upotrebu, o\u010dekuje se pove\u0107anje kapaciteta od 6%. Pove\u0107anjem kapaciteta snizit \u0107e se cijene prijevoza, ali ne na razinu prije pandemije.<\/span><\/p>

Me\u0111utim, zbog daljnjeg pove\u0107anja potra\u017enje i ograni\u010denja uzrokovanih zagu\u0161enjima, cijene kontejnerskog prijevoza u bliskoj budu\u0107nosti mogu dose\u0107i nove maksimume.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Tro\u0161kovi prijevoza i isporuke rastu od kolovoza 2020. Ipak, u prvim mjesecima ove godine zabilje\u017een je jo\u0161 zna\u010dajniji skok cijena prijevoza na vode\u0107im trgovinskim rutama. U nekim su slu\u010dajevima cijene \u010dak 3 puta ve\u0107e od pro\u0161logodi\u0161njih. Malo je naznaka da \u0107e se situacija kratkoro\u010dno popraviti, pa \u0107e cijene nastaviti rasti u drugoj polovici ove godine. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":2354,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[43],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2334","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog"],"yoast_head":"\n5 razloga za\u0161to tro\u0161kovi prijevoza i isporuke i dalje rastu - P2P<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Tro\u0161kovi prijevoza i isporuke rastu od kolovoza 2020. 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